Tracking the tropics: Disturbance in the Atlantic could bring heavy rainfall to Florida
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Published 2024-08-01
The big question on everyone's mind is where the system may travel and what we could feel in central Florida.
As of Thursday afternoon, this tropical wave has a 70% chance of development over the next seven days. There's a slight, 30% chance of development over the next 48 hours.
The system now has been given an "invest" — Invest 97-L, to be exact — meaning that hurricane center forecasters are watching it closely for potential development into a tropical depression or storm.
"Development of this system should be slow to occur during the next day or so while it moves west-northwestward over portions of the Greater Antilles. However, environmental conditions are forecast to be more conducive for development after the wave passes the Greater Antilles, and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week over the eastern Gulf of Mexico near the Florida Peninsula," the NHC wrote.
Meteorologists often use a variety of computer models like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ("Euro" for short) or the Global Forecast System (GFS, also known as the "American" model). Both are excellent tools used for both daily and long-term tropical forecasting.
In the case of this tropical wave, both computer models have not entirely agreed on what could potentially become of it as we head into the weekend ahead. However, that trend is changing and they are slowly becoming more aligned with where this cluster of moisture could be heading.
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All Comments (21)
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😂 glad the clicker is working
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I live in clearwater, its coming to say hello !!!!
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Thank you for the informative report that seems slightly less dramatic (and more fact based) than some others. Perhaps this is a gross oversimplification on my part - meteorologists over the last couple decades have done a fantastic job of predicting an almost exact path of many storms seven or more days out. But not every storm.
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Just some wind and rain.
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When Common Core mathematics goes wrong. 😵😵🤣🤣
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He could tell you about a plane crash with a gleam in his eye.
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I have a cruise out of Nola monday. Please come my way debbie
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If it just drifts a bit farther west… and stalls - watch it become a cat 4
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Back in September 2013, in a clip on CBS This Morning, Physicist Dr. Michio Kaku talked about experiments that scientists have been doing with weather modification using "Trillion-Watt Lasers". Can you discuss the effects it has on our weather?
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Alright, beer party time .
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I never found the European models to be all that attractive, to be honest. 😂
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Rather terrifying looking system actually very broad based and yes of course needs another reason to start going crazy with oil futures
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Any UPS flights?
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Has any Hurricane been named Anthony?
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Trying. As if it’s a person.
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I love spaghetti - Marinara or Alfredo sauce?
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Weather in Florida is totally pathetic
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everyone in Shore Acres, Riviera Bay, and Gulfport downtown is gonna flood...Again.......
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Time for insurance rate hikes.
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Debby will morph once it leaves Cuba and you can expect heavy flooding and winds...
